F+L Week 2018 | Steve Hsu | Future Vehicle Trends

F+L Week 2018
Price: $1000

As we faced the challenges of global warming, carbon emission reduction has become the top priority for the world. Transport sector worldwide accounts for 23% of direct CO2 combustion emission in 2014. The world vehicle fleet stands at 1.3 billion and is projected to grow to 2 billion by 2035. Therefore, fuel economy improvement is the quickest near term action that can significantly curb carbon emission while satisfying the transportation needs. As a result, government actions abound. The U.S. CAFE standard calls for reaching 54.5 miles per gallon (mpg) by 2025, while the EU calls for 57.4 mpg (4.1L/100km) by 2021. The automobile industry is undergoing an unprecedented “revolution” in design, fuel efficient technology adaptations, electrification and weight reduction. Many countries have enacted legislations to ban the sale of gasoline fueled cars by 2040 to allow for the orderly transition into electric vehicles and the supporting infrastructures. From now to 2040, many regulatory actions will be needed to significantly reduce carbon emission for the legacy fleet. Given an average 14-year life cycle for existing cars in the fleet, there is only about two life cycles to change the nature of the world vehicle fleet. To solve the growing pressure of increased population, transportation itself will need to undergo a separate “revolution” to evolve into transport on demand, autonomous cars and flying taxis ….. At the same time, the vehicle engines will begin to morph into much longer durability, lightweight transportation, public utility type of maintenance-free, remote controlled systems. For the near term, continual co-optimization of fuels (gasoline, biofuels, GTL, etc.), combustion, and low viscosity lubricants will be needed. As more coatings, surface textures and surface films move into commercialization, the very nature of lubrication may change from wear prevention to friction reduction to low friction durable systems, some with self repairing capability. This presentation will discuss the pending changes and possibilities of future system based on some of the current changes